2026-09-11 · FOREX
US Dollar / Yen (USD/JPY) Daily Analysis
HOLD
45% confidence · 154.538 JPY
TREND
USD/JPY is in a strong downtrend, with the price at 154.538 JPY trading below the EMA9 at 155.68, EMA21 at 157.33, and EMA50 at 158.82, while MACD registers a bearish -1.52.
SUMMARY
USD/JPY is currently in a strong bearish trend, with the price of 154.538 JPY trading significantly below its key moving averages, including the EMA9 at 155.68 and EMA50 at 158.82. The MACD indicator further confirms this bearish momentum at -1.52. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 32.54 suggests oversold conditions, and the price is near the lower Bollinger Band at 153.3, indicating a potential for a short-term bounce. Given these conflicting signals of a dominant downtrend and short-term oversold state, a cautious HOLD recommendation is issued.
SUPPORT
152.9
RESISTANCE
160.38
TIMEFRAME BIAS
The short-term bias shows oversold conditions suggesting a potential bounce, while the long-term bias remains strongly bearish.
PATTERNS
No significant patterns detected.